Research suggests patients with interstitial pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) do the worst while autoimmune diseases like SARD do the best. When an FVC decline of ≥10% was factored in, the transplant-free survival curves were the same across diseases. When other markers were looked at following removal of FVC decline, few were found to be prognostically useful.10
“What we find when we look at how well these measures predict death or transplant over the next year is that we are really good at identifying those who won’t die from PPF,” said Dr. Oldham. “But using current criteria, we are doing a bad job of finding those who will die.”
Biomarker Indicators
In an attempt to find better indicators, Dr. Oldham and others used machine learning to look for a composite biomarker. They completed a proof-of-concept study using a 12-protein signature. When applied to the validation cohort, the low-risk signature had a <10% chance of progression. The high-risk signature was more ambiguous.11
“For a patient with a small chance of progressing, I would be comfortable using these biomarkers to monitor them over the next year,” he said. “We are working on finding additional proteins and moving it to a quantitive panel for use in the clinic.”
When Initial Management Doesn’t Work
Some studies guide initial management, but when things go wrong, PPF comes into play. It is important to think of PPF as a failure of traditional management.
Nintedanib has been the only option for treating PPF. Compared with placebo, nerandomilast in both 9 mg and 18 mg doses slowed FVC decline over time. There was also a survival benefit not only in the overall cohort, but in the autoimmune subgroup.12
“I think these data could easily change the way we treat this condition,” said Dr. Oldham. “This is a big step up over what we have been able to offer over the last six years.”
Disclosures
Dr. Wilfong is a consultant for Allogene, Capstan Therapeutics and AstraZeneca; an advisor, review panel member and consultant for Boehringer-Ingelheim; and a former advisor/review panel member for Merck/MSD.
Dr. Oldham is a consultant for GlaxoSmithKline and Roche, and an advisor, speaker or review panel member for Boehringer-Ingelheim.
Kurt Ullman is a freelance writer based in Indiana.
References
- Brooks R, Baker JF, Yangyuna Y, et. al. The impact of disease severity measures on survival in US veterans with rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease. Rheumatol (Oxford). 2022 Nov 28;61(12):4667.
- Fridges H, Whitman CS, Dong J, et. al. Non-TNFi biologic and targeted synthetic DMARDs in rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease: A propensity score-matched, active-comparator, new-user study. Sem Arthritis Rheum. 2025 August:73;152735.
- Chang SH, Paudel ML, McDermott GL, et. al. Development of a prediction model for progressive rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease use serologic and clinical factors: The prospective KORAIL cohort. Sem Arthritis Rheum. 2025 August;73:15279.
- Tashkin DP, Roku MD, Clements PS, et. al. Mycophenolate mofetic versus oral cyclophosphamide in scleroderma-related interstitial lung disease (SLS II): A randomised controlled, double-blind, parallel group trial. Lancet Resp Med. 2021 Jan;9(1):96.
- Highland KB, Distler O, Kunawath M, et. al. Efficacy and safety of nintedanib in patients with systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease treatment with mycophenalates: A subgroup analysis of SENSCIS trial. Lancet Resp Med. 2021 Jan;9(1):96.
- Fasano S, Gordon P, Raouf H, et. al. Rituximab in treatment of inflammatory myopathies: A review. Rheumatology (Oxford). 2017 Jan;56(1):26.
- Johnson SR, Bernstein EJ, Bolster MB, et. al. 2023 American College of Rheumatology (ACR)/American College of Chest Physicians (CHEST) guidelines for the treatment of interstitial lung disease in people with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). 2024 Aug;76(8):1051.
- Clouse MEB, Rajendran A, Eudy A, et. al. Pregnancy outcomes in patients with interstitial lung disease. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). 2023 May;75(5):1166.
- Flaherty KR, Brown KK, Wells AU, et. al. Design of the PF-ILD trial: a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase III trial of nintedanib in patients with progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease. BMJ Open Respire Res. 2017 Sept 17;4(1):e0000216.
- Pugashetti JV, Adegunsoye A, Wu Z, et. al. Validation of proposed criteria for progressive pulmonary fibrosis. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. Jan 2023;207(1):69.
- Bowman WS, Newton CA, Linderholm Al, et. al. Proteomic markers of progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease: A multicentre cohort analysis. Lancet Resp Med. 2022 Jun;10(6):593.
- Maher TM, Assassi S, Azuma A, et. al. Nerandomilast in patients with progressive pulmonary fibrosis. N Eng J Med. 2025 Jun 12;392(22):2203.
